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AOUT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AOUT's strategic diversification into outdoor lifestyle markets positions it for strong growth. Recent price increase supports bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean reversion signal potential downside. Market skepticism over brand transformation persists.

Potential Outcomes: Continued growth in outdoor markets (60%)
Market correction (30%)
Regulatory challenges (10%)

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit call spread given the recent upward move and implied volatility trends. Target 3-month outlook with a focus on strikes around current price (~$18). Ensure positive reward-to-risk ratio.

February 11, 2025

American Outdoor Brands Forecast

AOUT American Outdoor Brands

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AOUT

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.0)

GPN Global Payments (-0.0)

PBPB Potbelly (0.01)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AOUT

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