AOUT Forecast


Bullish Case: AOUT's focus on innovation with a substantial portfolio of 392 patents and a solid financial position with $126 million in working capital provide growth potential. Revenue growth and a gross margin of 44% suggest future profitability.


Bearish Case: AOUT faces high implied volatility and poor analyst sentiment, with earnings estimates revised downward. The historical return graph shows a high likelihood of negative returns, reflecting potential downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Steady revenue growth (65%): Effective R&D leads to growth.

2. Market stagnation (20%): External factors inhibit sales.

3. Significant downturn (15%): Economic conditions or negative market sentiment impact AOUT heavily.


Trading Oracle: Trade a bearish debit put spread (Helium Long Volatility) on AOUT with a 3-month outlook given the high implied volatility and negative market sentiment. Target a 15% decline with a put spread around the $10 strike.


July 18, 2024


American Outdoor Brands Forecast

AOUT      American Outdoor Brands











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GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.0)


DD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DD  DuPont de Nemours (0.0)


HMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HMC  Honda Motor (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AOUT



NGD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGD  New Gold (-0.7)


TME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TME  Tencent Music Entertainment Group - (-0.7)


KTOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KTOS  Kratos Defense & Security (-0.71)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (-0.71)


BTF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTF  Valkyrie ETF Trust II - Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy (-0.72)





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