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AP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AP's recent price increase indicates strong upward momentum. Historical mean reversion suggests potential gains with extended holding periods.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and historical volatility signal potential price instability, with downside risk from broader economic conditions.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of stabilization around $3 due to recent recovery.
  • 35% continuation of volatility, potential drop to $2.50.
  • 25% chance of further gains to $3.50 if bullish sentiment holds.


May 20, 2025


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