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AI ARB Forecast

Bullish Case: Increased adoption driven by gaming investments and successful staking initiatives could propel ARB prices upwards. Regulatory clarity may enhance market confidence, leading to a significant demand spike.

Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny and ongoing bearish market sentiment may continue to press ARB downwards. If institutional interest wanes or new regulatory measures emerge, the price could drop significantly.

Potential Outcomes:

1. ARB rallies to $2 by EOY 2024 due to gaming interest (30%).

2. Price falls to $0.50 due to negative regulatory impacts (40%).

3. Stabilization around $1.12 as market neutralizes (30%).

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August 24, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARB

CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (0.93)

VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.93)

SPG Simon Property Group (0.93)

KBH KB Home (0.92)

XHB SPDR Homebuilders (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARB

ZTS Zoetis (0.0)

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

RDFN Redfin (-0.0)

VRDN Viridian Therapeutics (-0.01)

SFIX Stitch Fix (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARB

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.88)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.92)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.93)

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