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ARE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ARE’s specialized life sciences real estate positions it for solid demand, bolstered by favorable interest rate cuts and strong leasing activities.

Bearish Case: Economic pressures, especially within biotech, could weaken tenant demand and further hurt valuations, amplified by interest rate vulnerabilities.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Leasing Strength: 55% chance of moderate gains.
2. Economic Downturn: 30% risk of declines.
3. Sector Revival: 15% chance boosting prices.

Trading Oracle: Execute a low-risk bullish debit spread by buying ARE 04/17/2025 105.00 C and selling 110.00 C. Capture potential upside with high probability and favorable reward:risk ratio. Expiration gives flexibility with positive edge tied to low volatility environment.

February 08, 2025

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ARE Alexandria Real Estate

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