ARE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Steady leasing in specialized properties amid anticipated rate cuts could boost ARE, fostering demand and price appreciation.




Bearish Case: Economic headwinds, specifically in the biotech sector, may weaken tenant demand, pressuring ARE's valuations further.




Potential Outcomes: ARE's performance driven by leasing demand (60%), economic downturn reduces valuations (25%), unexpected sector revival (15%).




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: Buy ARE 04/17/2025 105.00 C, sell 110.00 C. Exploit moderate price upside with low volatility. Positive edge, high reward:risk, 60% probability of profit. Time horizon: 3 months.



January 10, 2025


Alexandria Real Estate Forecast

ARE        Alexandria Real Estate











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARE



CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (0.86)


BYND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYND  Beyond Meat (0.82)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.81)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.8)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARE



GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.0)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.0)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (-0.02)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (-0.02)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARE



BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.72)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.72)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.73)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (-0.73)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.74)









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