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ARE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The strong leasing activity in specialized properties supports price stability for ARE, combined with the expectation of Fed rate cuts stimulating demand in the life sciences sector. This positions ARE for potential upside.



Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties, particularly in the biotech sector, coupled with declining medical office attendance could weaken demand, leading to further downward pressure on ARE's valuations and price.



Potential Outcomes:
  • ARE maintains performance due to ongoing leasing: 60% chance.
  • The biotech sector downturn affects ARE negatively: 25% chance.
  • Unexpected demand surge due to positive policy changes: 15% chance.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish options strategy by initiating a debit spread. Buy ARE 12/20/2024 105.00 C and sell 12/20/2024 110.00 C. This takes advantage of modest expected price appreciation with minimized risk. Targeting a high reward-to-risk ratio with favorable market conditions enhances the potential for profit.


December 14, 2024


Alexandria Real Estate Forecast

ARE        Alexandria Real Estate

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OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.0)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.0)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.0)


ERII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERII  Energy Recovery (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARE


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.65)


RSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RSI  Rush Street Interactive (-0.66)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.67)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.67)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.69)







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