ATR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ATR shows a strong bullish risk skew (55% over bearish) and consistent growth with a 147.7% increase over ten years, suggesting underlying strength and potential upside.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider selling hint at downside risks. Stagnant price action and backwardation indicate potential market uncertainty and corrections.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilization (50%): Mean-reversion continues.
  • Upside breakout (30%): Bullish sentiment and sector growth.
  • Downside risk (20%): Insider selling and volatility.



June 01, 2025


Aptargroup Forecast

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