ATR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ATR's bullish risk is 38% higher than bearish, driven by sustainability and strong packaging innovations. Options volume favors call activity, indicating investor confidence.




Bearish Case: Concerns about recent flat price action and insider selling suggest potential downside. Volatility surface shows high uncertainty at lower strikes, increasing risk of corrections.




Potential Outcomes: 50% stability due to mean-reversion, 30% upside from sector growth and bullish sentiment, 20% downside from insider risk and market stress.




Trading Oracle: Leverage a bullish debit spread targeting $150 strikes, expiring in 60 days. Capture the positive market skew while controlling risk. High reward against limited risk, maximizing expected return with mean-reversion in mind.



February 08, 2025


Aptargroup Forecast

ATR        Aptargroup











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SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.92)


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (0.92)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (0.91)


MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ATR



AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.0)


MMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMS  Maximus (-0.01)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.01)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.01)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ATR



BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.82)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.82)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.83)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.83)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)









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