ATSG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ATSG's strategic positioning in the cargo sector and potential growth in e-commerce support a bullish outlook. Historical return surfaces indicate favorable outcomes for medium-term holds, suggesting increased investor confidence.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent options trading suggest market wariness. Persistent negative earnings growth and historical negative return likelihoods for shorter holds indicate potential downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Price increase due to strategic cargo demand and partnerships.
  • 50%: Price decline driven by negative earnings trends and market skepticism.
  • 20%: Price stabilization with mixed market signals.



March 15, 2025


Air Transport Services Forecast

ATSG        Air Transport Services











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ATSG



EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.0)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ATSG



CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (-0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.89)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.89)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.9)


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (-0.9)









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