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AU Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AU's implied volatility term structure suggests moderate risk over coming months. Bullish sentiment across options tenors (32% more than bearish) and price recovery patterns support potential upside.

Bearish Case: The historical return surface indicates frequent negative returns. Elevated implied volatility across strikes and macroeconomic uncertainties could pose downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Sideways Movement (45%): Current flat term structure suggests stability.
Bullish Breakout (35%): Positive sentiment and historical resilience might drive price higher.
Bearish Correction (20%): Potential macroeconomic headwinds and volatility could trigger declines.

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January 22, 2025

AngloGold Ashanti Ltd Forecast

AU AngloGold Ashanti Ltd

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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WPM Wheaton Precious Metals (0.85)

FE Firstenergy (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AU

DE Deere (0.01)

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V Visa (-0.01)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.01)

INTU Intuit (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AU

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.82)

WW WW International (-0.84)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.85)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.86)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.88)

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