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AUPH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AUPH could experience a positive shift driven by institutional investment and potential strategic decisions, as implied volatility remains elevated, suggesting market optimism.



Bearish Case: Continued high volatility combined with downward pressure from recent layoffs suggests potential for further decline, especially if market sentiment worsens.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Increased institutional stake (25%);

2) Continued layoffs leading to volatility (30%);

3) Positive earnings surprising the market (20%);

4) No significant change, maintaining current price (25%).



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November 21, 2024


Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Forecast

AUPH        Aurinia Pharmaceuticals

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AUPH


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (0.84)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.82)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.81)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (0.81)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AUPH


LESL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LESL  Leslies (0.0)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.01)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (0.01)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AUPH


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.73)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.78)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.81)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.88)


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (-0.89)







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