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BALY Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Bally's may benefit from the potential growth in online gaming and strategic partnerships, leveraging their positions despite market challenges.



Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and high debt levels remain significant threats, with market volatility questioning the sustainability of Bally's business model.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of revenue gain due to casino expansion, 30% chance of revenue decline from market headwinds, 25% chance of regulatory issues affecting performance.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish call spread by buying $20 calls and selling $22.50 calls for May 2025 expiry. BALY's historical mean reversion and stable volatility term structure suggest an upside with controlled risk. The strategy capitalizes on recovery potential.


February 15, 2025


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