BAM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BAM's successful strategic expansions into renewable sectors could drive growth. Historical return data suggests potential gains for long-term holders, supported by increased call option volume.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and past flat performance indicate market caution. Investor concerns about valuation and complex business model could hinder growth prospects.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Strategic expansion success (60%) could drive growth.

2. Stock stagnation continues due to valuation concerns (25%).

3. Macro challenges inhibit performance (15%).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish long call debit spread for June expiration. Buy $60 calls, sell $65 calls, leveraging recent call volume surge and high implied volatility. Target the potential upward trajectory within 3-4 months. This strategy offers positive alpha with a high reward-to-risk ratio and solid probability of profit.



February 15, 2025


Brookfield Asset Forecast

BAM        Brookfield Asset











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BAM



LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.94)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.93)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.93)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.92)


IWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BAM



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.0)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.0)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (0.01)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BAM



ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.79)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.79)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.8)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.82)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.82)









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