BAM Forecast


Bullish Case: BAM's robust capital deployment, strategic acquisitions, and strong recent investment in Castlelake signal growth potential. Combined with favorable historical return patterns for 1-2 year holding periods, there is a good probability for positive price movements [insurancebusinessmag.com] [bizjournals.com].


Bearish Case: Legal challenges, recent flat price action, and historical likelihood of negative returns for short holding periods pose risks. Add to this potential recession concerns affecting BAM's real estate exposure [courtlistener.com (Opinion)] [Helium].


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful Castlelake investment boosting returns (40%).

2. Legal defeats hindering growth (20%).

3. Market trends preserving current price levels (25%).

4. Macro shocks reducing stock value (15%).


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May 21, 2024


Brookfield Asset Forecast

BAM      Brookfield Asset











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BAM



MA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MA  Mastercard Incorporated (0.94)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.94)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.93)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.93)


ELF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ELF  e.l.f. Beauty (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BAM



IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (-0.0)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.0)


LW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LW  Lamb Weston (-0.0)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BAM



UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.84)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.86)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.93)





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