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BBY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: BBY's aggressive marketing and early Black Friday sales can lead to increased consumer spending, boosting revenues. Improved customer perception from strong sales may enhance stock performance.



Bearish Case: Economic pressures such as inflation may dampen consumer spending, leading to weaker than expected sales this holiday season. Increased competition from online retailers heightens risks for BBY.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of strong sales from Black Friday promotions boosting revenue.

2. 30% likelihood of underperformance due to economic constraints.

3. 20% chance of strategic investments leading to longer-term growth.



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy by implementing a debit spread: buy 5 $90 call options and sell 5 $92 calls, expiring in ~14 days. This takes advantage of expected volatility spikes and potential price rises around Black Friday with high odds of success at ~75%.


November 19, 2024


Best Buy Forecast

BBY        Best Buy

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