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BG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Bunge's recent merger approval and potential operational efficiencies could enhance financial performance, attracting more investor confidence.

Bearish Case: BG faces ongoing environmental and regulatory scrutiny, potentially escalating costs and hindering profitability amidst recent stock declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Merger boosts efficiency (45%).

2. Regulatory challenges persist (30%).

3. Market demand stabilizes prices (25%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility strategy by selling $65 puts and buying $60 puts for March expiry. Benefit from low implied volatility and potential merger synergies. This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio with a 78% Helium probability of profit.

February 08, 2025

Bunge Forecast

BG Bunge

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