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BHVN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The bullish case hinges on positive trial results boosting market sentiment, potentially driving BHVN above $60. Strong pipeline prospects and an advantageous volatility structure support upside momentum.



Bearish Case: A continued decline in market sentiment, regulatory setbacks, or poor trial results could push BHVN back towards $40. High implied volatility indicates market uncertainty regarding future price stability.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive trial results: 30% chance;

2. Regulatory delays: 25% chance;

3. Market adoption challenges: 20% chance;

4. General market downturn: 25% chance. These reflect updated market sentiments.



Trading Oracle: A bull call spread by buying the $50 call and selling the $55 call could capitalize on current volatility while limiting risk. With current market conditions indicating a sharp upside potential, this trade exploits high volatility and offers effective management of exposure. Aim for a potential return of 20% (annualized ~60%).


November 14, 2024


Biohaven Pharmaceutical Forecast

BHVN        Biohaven Pharmaceutical

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VEEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VEEV  Veeva Systems (0.8)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BHVN


SGML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGML  Sigma Lithium (-0.0)


BBIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBIO  BridgeBio Pharma (0.0)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.0)


USD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USD  ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (0.0)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BHVN


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.52)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.52)


PSQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSQ  ProShares Short QQQ (-0.52)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.64)


BG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BG  Bunge (-0.64)







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