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BKNG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong revenue growth, strategic expansions in flights, and a competitive moat bolster BKNG’s long-term potential. The return surface shows frequent positive outcomes.

Bearish Case: High market valuations, regulatory risks, and economic headwinds could hinder BKNG’s short-term growth, as suggested by high implied volatility peaks in stress scenarios.

Potential Outcomes: 60%: Continued growth with robust financials.
30%: Regulatory and competitive pressures.
10%: Global economic downturn impacts demand.

June 16, 2025

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