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BLBD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Increased adoption of electric school buses, driven by government funding and environmental concerns, positions BLBD for potential significant growth and superior profitability.



Bearish Case: Persistent supply chain issues, heightened competition, and economic downturns could lead to declining margins and stagnant stock performance for BLBD.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% Chance: Significant rise due to electric bus demand.

2. 25% Chance: Stagnation from operational inefficiencies.

3. 20% Chance: Market correction causing price dips.

4. 15% Chance: Surge from favorable regulations.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy via a debit spread—buy 1 $40 call and sell 1 $45 call expiring in 60 days. This trade leverages high implied volatility for potential gains while minimizing risk. Aim for a favorable risk/reward ratio.


November 17, 2024


Blue Bird Forecast

BLBD        Blue Bird

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Uncorrelated Assets

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BLBD


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.8)


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (-0.81)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (-0.81)


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U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   U  Unity Software (-0.85)







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