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BMA Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Banco Macro could benefit from improving economic sentiment in Argentina, aided by solid earnings and potential dividend hikes, positioning the stock for upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Persisting economic instability in Argentina may lead to further regulatory challenges, increasing downside risks for BMA, especially with high implied volatility indicating market concerns.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Solid Q3 earnings (40% chance);

2. Regulatory challenges (30% chance);

3. Dividend increase (50% chance);

4. Economic downturn (20% chance).



Trading Oracle: Consider a long call spread by buying BMA 85.00 C (implied vol 43.9%) and selling BMA 90.00 C (implied vol 42.5%). This strategy captures bullish sentiment with manageable risk, capitalizing on expected earnings boosts and lower volatility in the short term.


November 08, 2024


Banco Macro Forecast

BMA        Banco Macro

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BMA News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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