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BMO Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: BMO's strategic investments and recent insider buying indicate strong growth potential, particularly as implied volatility suggests confidence in future performance. A favorable economic environment may further enhance returns.



Bearish Case: Ongoing global banking uncertainties and low implied volatility illustrate market caution, suggesting potential stagnation or decline in BMO’s price. Recent historical trends show limited upside within the current structure.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful strategic investments leading to gains (50%).
  • Continued flat performance due to economic uncertainty (25%).
  • Potential declines driven by rising loan losses (15%).
  • Market recovery boosting stock prices (10%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a near-term bullish strategy by executing a debit spread on BMO. Buy the 12/20/2024 $95 call and sell the $100 call, targeting moderate growth as implied volatility supports recoveries while managing risk effectively. Monitor for earnings surprises.


December 13, 2024


Bank of Montreal Forecast

BMO        Bank of Montreal

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