AI BMO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: BMO's strategic expansions and diversified investments signal potential growth amidst stable market conditions, supported by a flat term structure suggesting low volatility and heightened investor confidence.


Bearish Case: Ongoing global banking instability and recent underperformance indicate risk, with anticipated flat returns and market skepticism reflected in elevated put option volumes and high implied volatility for lower strike prices.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings report delivering a 30% chance of growth.

2. Market stabilization leading to a 50% chance of continued flat trends.

3. Banking sector turbulence affecting BMO’s performance with a 20% chance of significant decline.


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August 20, 2024


Bank of Montreal Forecast

BMO      Bank of Montreal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BMO



KEYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEYS  Keysight (0.88)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.86)


ITW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITW  Illinois Tool Works (0.86)


CE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CE  Series (0.86)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BMO



AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.0)


KLXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLXE  KLX Energy Services (-0.0)


GCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GCO  Genesco (0.0)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.0)


DD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DD  DuPont de Nemours (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BMO



AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.64)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.64)


REPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REPL  Replimune (-0.64)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.8)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.8)





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