BOC Forecast


Bullish Case: BOC's potential for positive returns is evident over holding periods longer than one year, especially if economic stimulus via rate cuts occurs as historical trends suggest a rebound following downward movements.


Bearish Case: Historical data shows a high likelihood of BOC experiencing negative returns in the short term (<1 year) with prevailing downward momentum and high implied volatility suggesting continued near-term struggles.


Potential Outcomes:

1. BoC cuts interest rates boosting equity prices: 60%.

2. Economic weakness curtails bullish effects: 75%.

3. Unexpected rate hike or status quo: 25%.

4. Improved economic indicators spark reversal: 40%.


Trading Oracle: Execute a short volatility strategy using credit spreads for November 2024 options due to high implied volatility and neutral AI forecast. Sell 10.00 puts and buy 15.00 calls for positive edge and high probability of profit. Moderate risk and timely trading mitigate near-term negative returns.


July 16, 2024


Boston Omaha Corp Forecast

BOC      Boston Omaha Corp











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOC



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.02)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOC



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.02)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOC



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.66)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.02)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.33)





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