BOIL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BOIL’s implied volatility shows potential for a bullish uptick, driven by potential seasonal demand and geopolitical factors supporting natural gas prices.




Bearish Case: The high volatility and recent declines suggest continued pressure, with oversupply and seasonal downturns potentially suppressing BOIL's price.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Increase by 15% due to geopolitical tensions (30%).
  • Decrease by 20% from oversupply concerns (50%).
  • Flat (20%).




Trading Oracle: Deploy a bearish credit spread strategy. Sell the 02/07/2025 $55 call and buy the $57 call. Exploit high volatility while limiting risk. This strategy offers a 70% probability of profit with potential gains in the next two weeks.



February 01, 2025


ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

BOIL        ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas











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