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BP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Possible Shell takeover could significantly boost BP's share price and market value, alongside positive market response to strategic shifts.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation suggest market uncertainty, compounded by disappointing financial performance and environmental skepticism.

Potential Outcomes: Shell takeover boosts stock (30% chance)
High volatility leads to downturn (30% chance)
Renewable shifts gain traction (20% chance)
Stable performance despite challenges (20% chance)

May 07, 2025

BP Forecast

BP BP

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BP

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.88)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.83)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.78)

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.75)

KLAC KLA (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BP

FSK FS KKR (-0.0)

FDX Fedex (0.01)

OMC Omnicom Group (-0.01)

CCCS CCC Intelligent (-0.01)

HAS Hasbro (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BP

AXON Axon Enterprise (-0.68)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.69)

MMYT MakeMyTrip (-0.7)

FAST Fastenal (-0.73)

CALM Cal-Maine Foods (-0.73)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.