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BP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Possible Shell takeover could significantly boost BP's share price and market value, alongside positive market response to strategic shifts.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation suggest market uncertainty, compounded by disappointing financial performance and environmental skepticism.

Potential Outcomes: Shell takeover boosts stock (30% chance)
High volatility leads to downturn (30% chance)
Renewable shifts gain traction (20% chance)
Stable performance despite challenges (20% chance)

May 07, 2025

BP Forecast

BP BP

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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