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BP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BP’s steady transition towards renewables and favorable trading sentiment, coupled with increased options activity in calls over puts, indicate potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges related to alleged involvement in controversial geopolitical issues, combined with high volatility and backwardation, could threaten downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Legal challenges cause price drop (35%).

2) Renewables transition gains traction, boosting stock (40%).

3) Political influences cause price fluctuation (25%).

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December 27, 2024

BP Forecast

BP BP

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BP

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.92)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.89)

PSX Phillips 66 (0.89)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.89)

RIG Transocean (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BP

PLBY PLBY (-0.0)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.02)

GTLB Gitlab (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BP

CLPT ClearPoint Neuro (-0.85)

INFY Infosys (-0.86)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.89)

COMM CommScope (-0.89)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.93)

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