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BP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BP's pivot back to fossil fuels amidst high volatility provides a possible upside as oil prices stabilize and demand strengthens, particularly with potential dividend increases.

Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and missed earnings forecasts expose BP to downside risks, with recent leadership instability undermining investor confidence and potential for continued stock underperformance.

Potential Outcomes: Oil prices stabilize, boosting revenue (50%)
Regulatory/legal issues negatively impact (35%)
Stock remains stable due to demand (15%)

April 11, 2025

BP Forecast

BP BP

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BP

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.89)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.84)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (0.77)

OVV Ovintiv (0.76)

DVN Devon Energy (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BP

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)

LIT Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (-0.02)

ADI Analog Devices (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.03)

IMO Imperial Oil (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BP

AMLX AMLX (-0.81)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.83)

COLB Columbia Banking System (-0.84)

PNC PNC Financial Services (-0.84)

MSI Motorola (-0.89)

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