BP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Possible Shell takeover could significantly boost BP's share price and market value, alongside positive market response to strategic shifts.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation suggest market uncertainty, compounded by disappointing financial performance and environmental skepticism.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Shell takeover boosts stock (30% chance)
  • High volatility leads to downturn (30% chance)
  • Renewable shifts gain traction (20% chance)
  • Stable performance despite challenges (20% chance)



May 07, 2025


BP Forecast

BP        BP











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BP



EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.95)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.89)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (0.77)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.76)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BP



FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (-0.01)


CCCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCCS  CCC Intelligent (-0.01)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BP



GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (-0.75)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (-0.75)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.76)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.8)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.83)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with BP


 Ask any question about BP!