BRO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With recent strong market sentiment and consistent growth through strategic acquisitions, BRO may see upward momentum as volatility stabilizes, suggesting a favorable environment for aggressive investment strategies.




Bearish Case: Heightened implied volatility and recent negative sentiment driven by institutional sell-offs create potential headwinds, suggesting caution as market fluctuations may lead to short-term price corrections.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Increased demand from strategic partnerships (60% chance)
  • Market correction leading to 15% decline (30% chance)
  • Continued volatility stabilization (40% chance)




Trading Oracle: Given the current market volatility, consider a long call spread on BRO by buying the January 17, 2025, $105 calls and selling the $110 calls. This targets upside from potential strategic movements while mitigating downside risk. Favorable risk/reward suggests a high probability of profit as market conditions stabilize.



December 21, 2024


Brown & Brown Forecast

BRO        Brown & Brown











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BRO



SPLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLV  Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.98)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.97)


VTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTV  Vanguard Value (0.96)


CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (0.96)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BRO



NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (0.0)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.01)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.01)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.03)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BRO



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.88)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.89)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.91)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)









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