BUSE Forecast


Bullish Case: Institutional investment has surged, reflecting growing confidence in BUSE's stability, particularly if Q2 earnings surpass expectations. Historical data shows potential for significant returns beyond one year. Positive market sentiment could drive shares up.


Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny of the banking sector remains a threat, potentially suppressing BUSE’s price. High implied volatility may indicate market uncertainty. If negative economic data surfaces, it could trigger a sell-off.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Q2 positive earnings surprise (30%) - Could boost stock significantly.
2. Increased regulatory scrutiny (50%) - Likely to depress prices further.
3. Broader market downturn (20%) - May push BUSE to new lows.
4. Institutional investment increase (40%) - Stabilize and elevate stock prices.


Trading Oracle: Sell credit spreads targeting $25 puts expiration in August. Given BUSE's implied volatility, this strategy captures premium decay amid a low volatility environment. The risk-reward profile is favorable, with a high probability of profit.


July 24, 2024


First Busey Forecast

BUSE      First Busey











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USB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USB  U.S. Bancorp. (0.89)


STT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STT  State Street (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BUSE



NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (-0.0)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.0)


MNKD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNKD  Mannkind (0.01)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.01)


DAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVA  Endava plc (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BUSE



DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.76)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.76)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.8)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


REK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REK  ProShares Short Real Estate (-0.91)





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