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BYD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BYD's strategic partnerships and growth in international markets, coupled with lower-than-market helium implied volatility, suggest potential upside opportunities.

Bearish Case: High competition and recent negative press, along with insider selling, pose downside risks that could erode investor confidence and pressure BYD's stock price.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continuing growth driven by strategic expansion (45%)

2. Short-term decline due to competitive pressures (35%)

3. Stability from mixed signals (20%)

Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread: sell $75 calls, buy $77.50 calls—leveraging high implied volatility. Manage risk with favorable 78% Helium odds. Short timeframe (~22 days) capitalizes on expected neutral-to-bearish outlook.

December 27, 2024

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Assets that tend to move strongly with BYD

FHI Federated Hermes (0.93)

ILMN Illumina (0.81)

WHR Whirlpool (0.76)

ACN Accenture (0.71)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.7)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BYD

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.01)

CWEN Clearway Energy (0.03)

WW WW International (0.03)

FE Firstenergy (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BYD

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.66)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.67)

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.67)

ST Sensata (-0.77)

OGN Organon (-0.78)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.