CAR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CAR is poised for growth due to potential resolution of legal issues, solid demand in travel, and favorable long-term trends. Recent spikes in call option volumes reflect growing investor interest.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and unresolved legal challenges suggest persistent risks. Negative historical returns and a poor price-to-book ratio could continue weighing on investor sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Legal resolutions boost stock (40%)

2. Negative sentiment drags prices (25%)

3. Trend remains stable (35%). Price volatility suggests dynamic movements.




Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish call debit spread, buying $90 and selling $95 calls. With IV spikes and strong demand, capitalize on potential upwards move within 30 days. High reward-to-risk with a 70% probability of profit.



February 02, 2025


Avis Budget Forecast

CAR        Avis Budget











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