CC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Strong leadership, technological advancements in Opteon products, and proactive steps in risk management may fuel growth. Helium's bullish biases and high call options volume support this outlook.


Bearish Case: Weak demand, financial instability, litigation risks, and supply chain issues pose significant headwinds. High market volatility and recent price decline (-37.1% YoY) reinforce the bearish outlook.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued financial weakness (60%).

2. Opteon product success (40%).

3. Ongoing legal costs and environmental issues (70%).

4. Price recovery from strategic changes (30%).


Trading Oracle: Focus on short volatility strategies due to flat term structure and high implied volatility. Execute a short call spread: sell 1 $24 strike call, buy 3 $27 strike calls, expiring in ~22 days, targeting 85% profitability with a return of 1:0.1. This captures premium decay amid elevated volatility.


June 28, 2024


Chemours Forecast

CC      Chemours











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