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CIO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CIO's strategic asset acquisitions and rising leasing demand in major regions may support a rebound. Stable dividends and potential mean reversion could attract income-focused investors.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and remote work trends could decrease office demand, pressuring CIO. High implied volatility and volume on puts indicate negative sentiment and potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Mean reversion to $5-$5.5 (40%)

2. Decline below $4.7 due to economic pressures (45%)

3. Rising above $5.5 on positive macro shifts (15%)

April 17, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CIO

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (0.79)

GRBK Green Brick (0.77)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.72)

CUBE CubeSmart (0.7)

EPI WisdomTree India Earnings (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CIO

ORI Old Republic International (-0.0)

DOMO Domo (-0.0)

RCL Royal Caribbean (-0.0)

WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.0)

TAN Invesco Solar (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CIO

HES Hess (-0.51)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.6)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.61)

ETR Entergy (-0.63)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.65)

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