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CIO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Mean reversion with stable dividends and positive urban acquisition strategies could attract long-term investors. Implied volatility indicates potential upside amid stabilizing interest rates.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility, rising interest rates, and shifts to remote work threaten occupancy rates, interest income, and price stability. Remote work trends present significant headwinds.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion to $5.5 (45%), decline below $5 due to persistent economic pressures (35%), rise above $6 driven by positive macro shifts (20%).

May 14, 2025

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