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CIO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CIO's potential growth in urban markets and strategic positioning post-COVID could drive price above $6.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and rising vacancy rates cast doubt on CIO's sustainability, risking price below $5.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Mean reversion to $5.5 (40%)

2. Fall below $5 (45%)

3. Rise above $6 (15%) due to market shifts.

Trading Oracle: Sell a credit call spread with a strike at $5.50 expiring in April 2025. High implied volatility and mean-reverting trends indicate limited upside, ensuring positive edge and high probability of profit.

January 11, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CIO

PSFE Paysafe Limited (0.82)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.81)

FFIE Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (0.8)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.8)

WPM Wheaton Precious Metals (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CIO

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.01)

VTRS Viatris (0.01)

GTE Gran Tierra Energy (0.02)

PEP Pepsico (-0.02)

GL Globe Life (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CIO

DIN Dine Brands (-0.71)

ABCL AbCellera Biologics (-0.71)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.72)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.74)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)

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