CMPS Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive Phase 3 results and strategic partnerships, combined with promising FDA approval potential for COMP360, could drive CMPS significantly higher. Analyst targets and public sentiment show strong upside potential.


Bearish Case: Regulatory hurdles, insider sales, and clinical trial failures could substantially pressure CMPS. The recent loss of momentum and historical negative returns present a considerable downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive Phase 3 results: 35%, +50% surge.

2. Regulatory setbacks: 25%, -20% drop.

3. Flat/frequent insider sales: 25%, -10%.

4. Unforeseen negative events or minor news: 15%, -5%. These outcomes balance past analysis with current market performance.


Trading Oracle: Leverage a bullish debit spread strategy using the Aug 16, 2024 $7.50/$10.00 calls. The implied volatility and skew show promising upward gamma. This long volatility approach provides significant alpha with a high reward:risk and positive edge, capitalizing on potential positive news with a medium-term outlook.


July 23, 2024


Compass Pathways Forecast

CMPS      Compass Pathways











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TIXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TIXT  TELUS International (Cda) Inc (Sub Voting) (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMPS



RIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIVN  Rivian Automotive (0.0)


EXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPI  eXp World (-0.0)


LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (-0.0)


RYAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAN  Ryan Specialty (0.0)


DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMPS



TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.52)


EQNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQNR  Equinor ASA - (-0.53)


COCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COCO  Vita Coco (-0.56)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.58)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.7)





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