CNF Forecast


Bullish Case: CNF's current low price and valuation relative to its historical levels, combined with upcoming regulatory developments and rising institutional investments, suggest potential for significant appreciation.


Bearish Case: Continuous negative returns over various holding periods and a long-term bearish trend in the last five years, as seen in CNF's historical price return surface, indicate a high likelihood of further declines.


Potential Outcomes: Short-term price rise (20%), expected due to bullish sentiment and positive AI forecasts. Medium-term bearish continuation (70%) driven by historical trends and operational challenges. Long-term stabilization (10%) if immediate issues resolve or market conditions improve.


Trading Oracle: Deploy Helium Long Volatility strategies with aggressive debit spreads. Short-term bullish play for immediate upside; 30-day CNF debit call spreads focus on $1.6 strike. Expected price growth supported by bullish sentiment; control max downside.


June 30, 2024


CNFinance Holdings Ltd Forecast

CNF      CNFinance Holdings Ltd











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CNF



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CNF



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.34)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.77)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CNF



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.73)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.77)





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