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COSM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Cosmos's strong ecosystem growth and strategic partnerships increase long-term adoption potential, supported by historical return patterns favoring lengthy holding periods.

Bearish Case: High competition and lingering regulatory uncertainties, coupled with past execution issues, challenge Cosmos’s recovery, indicating potential for continued volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40%: Ecosystem expansion boosts adoption

2. 35%: Regulatory issues hinder growth

3. 25%: Market volatility impacts prices.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance with debit spreads on COSM. Target a 3-6 month horizon focusing on strikes around $2.00-$2.50. Capture mean reversion potential from high IV while monitoring ecosystem updates. Optimize reward:risk by entering on pullbacks.

January 07, 2025

Cosmos Forecast

COSM Cosmos

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