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COSM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Cosmos's strong ecosystem growth and strategic partnerships increase long-term adoption potential, supported by historical return patterns favoring lengthy holding periods.

Bearish Case: High competition and lingering regulatory uncertainties, coupled with past execution issues, challenge Cosmos’s recovery, indicating potential for continued volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40%: Ecosystem expansion boosts adoption

2. 35%: Regulatory issues hinder growth

3. 25%: Market volatility impacts prices.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance with debit spreads on COSM. Target a 3-6 month horizon focusing on strikes around $2.00-$2.50. Capture mean reversion potential from high IV while monitoring ecosystem updates. Optimize reward:risk by entering on pullbacks.

January 07, 2025

Cosmos Forecast

COSM Cosmos

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COSM

EPI WisdomTree India Earnings (0.75)

AMT American Tower (0.64)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.64)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.63)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.62)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COSM

IVW BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (-0.0)

VSEC VSE (-0.0)

VRSK Verisk Analytics (0.0)

CBRE CBRE (0.0)

CAT Caterpillar (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COSM

RLX RLX Technology (-0.57)

TAL TAL Education (-0.59)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.59)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.64)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.66)

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