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COTY Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Coty's strategic partnerships and product launches boost growth amid moderate implied volatility, indicating potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: High leverage and persistent legal challenges, combined with flat volatility, threaten financial stability, maintaining downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Coty’s strategic growth (55%); financial strain from costs or litigation (25%); unexpected macro events (20%).

Trading Oracle: Favor a cautious bullish play with call debit spreads. Buy February $7 calls, sell $9 calls. Target moderate price increase as implied volatility stabilizes. Leverage medium-term potential growth while controlling downside risk.

December 28, 2024

Coty Forecast

COTY Coty

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with COTY

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BLMN Bloomin Brands (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COTY

S Sprint (-0.0)

RRC Range Resources (-0.0)

FMC FMC (-0.0)

VTRS Viatris (0.0)

INTU Intuit (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COTY

CRS Carpenter Technology (-0.94)

FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.94)

GDDY Godaddy (-0.94)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.95)

GVA Granite Construction (-0.95)

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