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CRI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: If CRI's mean reversion follows historical patterns, a rebound is likely as the market digests overstretched bearish sentiment. Implied volatility may decrease, suggesting reduced risk.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strike prices and recent negative price action suggest continued downside risk. Macro uncertainties and competition challenge recovery efforts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Mean Reversion: 50% chance of price recovery driven by historical trends.
  • Continued Volatility: 35% chance, as uncertainty persists, pushing prices lower.
  • Status Quo: 15% chance of minimal change, stabilizing market conditions.
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    April 11, 2025


    Carters Forecast

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    Correlated Assets

    Assets that tend to move strongly with CRI


    XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.92)


    COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.89)


    XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.89)


    ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.88)


    AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.87)



    Uncorrelated Assets

    Assets with little price relationship to CRI


    STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.01)


    UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)


    DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)


    CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (0.03)


    DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.04)



    Anticorrelated Assets

    Assets that tend to move strongly against CRI


    JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.81)


    HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.83)


    ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.83)


    ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.85)


    LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.85)







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