CRT Forecast


Bullish Case: Potential technical bounce from oversold conditions; reversion to the mean support around $14.4. Supports from historical price return surfaces for 1-2 year holding periods showing high likelihood of gains.


Bearish Case: Continued negative price action driven by economic factors and political sentiment, especially given the sharp decline from $22.5. The AI price forecast also leans neutral to negative and recent downside momentum persists.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Short-term bounce (+30%, 40% chance): Driven by technical oversold conditions.

2) Continued decline (-20%, 35% chance): Follow market sentiment and political instability.

3) High volatility with no trend (20% chance): Reaction to economic and political factors.


Trading Oracle: Trade Helium Long Volatility debit spreads expiring in 3-6 months to exploit expected rebound. Enter bullish debit spreads at $12 and $14 strikes. Alternatively, hedge with put options at $10 striking for downside protection. High reward:risk with positive edge and high probability-of-profit.


June 25, 2024


Cross Timbers Royalty Forecast

CRT      Cross Timbers Royalty












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