CSD Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: CSD may see upward momentum due to low implied volatility amidst favorable market conditions, suggesting potential for higher prices as sentiment shifts positively. Upcoming economic indicators could act as catalysts.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility above market levels indicates increased uncertainty, coupled with recent flat price action, suggesting potential short-term declines or stagnant movements, considering external economic pressures.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of moderate price increase if positive economic data is released.

2. 35% chance of price stagnation due to mixed signals.

3. 25% likelihood of declines if volatility escalates amid worsening economic factors.




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October 10, 2024


Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P Spin-Off Forecast

CSD        Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P Spin-Off











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CSD



JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.98)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.98)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.98)


XLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLI  Industrial Select Sector SPDR (0.98)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CSD



GOOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOS  Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (0.0)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.0)


CCOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCOI  Cogent Communications (-0.0)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.0)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CSD



SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.91)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.91)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.94)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.94)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)









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