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CYTK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: A successful CK-586 trial could catalyze significant buy-side interest, driving prices upward due to demand and acquisition optimism as indicated by heightened implied volatility.



Bearish Case: Continued pressure from high price-to-book ratios and investor concern over M&A prospects could lead to price declines, especially if trial outcomes disappoint or fail to generate necessary interest.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Successful CK-586 trial (30% probability)
  • 2. Acquisition interest materializes (40% probability)
  • 3. Negative trial results trigger sell-off (20% probability)
  • 4. Regulatory delays or poor market sentiment lead to downturn (10% probability)



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread using CYTK 55.00 C and 60.00 C, planning for the potential trial results. With implied volatility rising, this strategy aims for high reward despite market uncertainty. Monitor key dates to adjust positions quickly as results unfold. Aim for maximal value capture while managing risk through careful timing.


December 05, 2024


Cytokinetics Forecast

CYTK        Cytokinetics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CYTK


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (0.73)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.72)


TWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWI  Titan International (0.69)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.68)


LKQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LKQ  LKQ (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CYTK


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.0)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.0)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.01)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (0.01)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CYTK


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.69)


ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (-0.7)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.71)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (-0.71)


COCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COCO  Vita Coco (-0.76)







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