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DAL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Strong travel demand supports revenue growth, alongside recent strategic partnerships and capacity expansions, reinforcing DAL's competitive edge and potential for share price appreciation in the coming months.



Bearish Case: Potential impact from ongoing legal challenges and rising operational costs could dampen profitability, with concern over reduced travel demand as upcoming elections approach, posing risks to DAL's performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued strong demand and operational improvements (70% chance).

2) Negative impacts from legal challenges (40% chance).

3) Unfavorable regulatory developments increase costs (35% chance).

4) Customer dissatisfaction leads to reduced loyalty (30% chance).



Trading Oracle: Leverage a bullish long call debit spread strategy on DAL, focusing on near-term expirations (e.g., buying $65 calls while selling $67.50 calls) to capitalize on elevated implied volatility and near-term price action, aiming for a high reward/risk ratio as sentiment improves post-election.


November 20, 2024


Delta Air Lines Forecast

DAL        Delta Air Lines

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DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.86)


OC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OC  Owens Corning (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DAL


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.0)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.0)


BP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BP  BP (-0.0)


TRMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMD  TORM (0.0)


HP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HP  Helmerich & Payne (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DAL


HE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HE  Hawaiian Electric Industries (-0.76)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.78)


MGPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGPI  MGP Ingredients (-0.78)


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (-0.82)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (-0.84)







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