DECK Forecast


Bullish Case: DECK has demonstrated substantial historical growth, supported by strong brand momentum (UGG, HOKA) and optimistic earnings forecasts.


Bearish Case: Market uncertainties indicated by lower trading volumes and stagnating price action, combined with insider selling, suggest potential near-term corrections.


Potential Outcomes:

1. DECK continues to rally due to strong brand performance (60%).

2. Market uncertainty and flat movement in implied volatility lead to stagnation or correction (30%).

3. Unforeseen market events create volatility spikes (10%).


Trading Oracle: Sell short volatility via credit spreads. Strategy: Sell Aug 2024 $1030 call, buy Aug $1050 call. Leverage high implied volatility and low trading volume. Timeframe: ~23 days ahead for low-risk, high-reward with defined max loss. Positive edge with 66% probability of profit.


June 27, 2024


Deckers Outdoor Forecast

DECK      Deckers Outdoor











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DECK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DECK



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.69)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DECK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.67)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.69)





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