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DECK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DECK's strong brand, particularly HOKA's explosive growth, suggests upside potential. The implied volatility decline indicates decreasing market uncertainty, which could allow the stock to recover from its recent drop.

Bearish Case: The drop in DECK’s price and missed earnings forecasts create a challenging landscape. Elevated implied volatility and mean-reverting historical price trends highlight potential risk of further declines.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of stabilization with mean reversion. 50% chance of continued decline amid macro uncertainties. 20% chance of bullish recovery due to brand strength.

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May 27, 2025

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