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DG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DG's store expansions and operational improvements, especially focusing on underserved markets, hint at recovery potential as evidenced by recent upward price trends.

Bearish Case: Continued safety issues and regulatory challenges imply ongoing reputational and financial risks. The high short-term volatility reflects uncertainty, backed by bearish AI forecasts.

Potential Outcomes: Operational improvement boosts stock (30%).
Regulatory challenges depress growth (40%).
Successful expansion in rural areas (20%).
Market competition pressures margins (10%).

April 23, 2025

Dollar General Forecast

DG Dollar General

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DG

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.87)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (0.86)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.84)

ILF BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Latin America 40 (0.81)

EC Ecopetrol SA (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DG

AA Alcoa (0.0)

VHT Vanguard Health Care (0.0)

SAN Banco Santander (-0.01)

IMO Imperial Oil (0.01)

ANET Arista Networks (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DG

AXP American Express (-0.89)

RCL Royal Caribbean (-0.9)

WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (-0.91)

GIL Gildan Activewear (-0.92)

KNTK Kinetik (-0.93)

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