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DHI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DHI has strong housing demand and institutional backing. Its implied volatility shows contango, suggesting near-term upward momentum. Helium Helium

Bearish Case: DHI faces risks from rising mortgage rates and potential market saturation. The implied volatility surface indicates elevated uncertainty. Helium Helium

Potential Outcomes: 1. Continued housing demand boosts DHI (60%).

2. Rising rates hurt demand (30%).

3. Legal issues arise (5%).

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January 07, 2025

D.R. Horton Forecast

DHI D.R. Horton

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DHI

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.89)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.81)

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.8)

VRNS Varonis Systems (0.79)

MAS Masco (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DHI

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)

GIII G-III Apparel (-0.01)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.03)

FCX Freeport-McMoRan (-0.04)

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DHI

SONY Sony Group Corporation (-0.67)

IRTC iRhythm (-0.68)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.73)

ANET Arista Networks (-0.75)

TSLX Sixth Street Specialty Lending (-0.75)

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