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DIA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DIA shows 66% more bullish risk. Historical price trends and robust corporate earnings support an optimistic outlook.

Bearish Case: DIA faces backwardation and high IV risks, indicating potential short-term volatility and possible corrections.

Potential Outcomes: Uptrend continuation: 60% chance driven by strong bullish momentum.
Sideways movement: 30% likelihood due to mixed signals.
Downturn: 10% chance from volatility spikes or economic concerns.

Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spreads by buying DIA $450 calls and selling $455 calls with March expiry. With low IV and mean-reverting history, this strategy exploits implied volatility dips. Expect a 20% return on momentum. Opt for short to medium-term expiration aligning with earnings.

February 01, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIA

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.99)

IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.96)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.96)

ITOT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.96)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIA

VERV Verve Therapeutics (-0.0)

ACGL Arch (0.0)

FLNC Fluence Energy (0.01)

YELP Yelp (-0.01)

RLX RLX Technology (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIA

BLDP Ballard Power Systems (-0.86)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.87)

GES Guess (-0.87)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.