DIA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Despite recent declines, lower long-term implied volatility and historical resilience suggest potential for recovery. Bullish sentiment and elevated trading volumes indicate market optimism.




Bearish Case: Backwardation and high option volume on puts highlight existing market anxiety. Recent price drops and geopolitical tensions could lead to further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Recovery supported by historical patterns (60% probability)
  • Continued decline due to geopolitical/economic stress (40% probability)



April 08, 2025


SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Forecast

DIA        SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIA



FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.98)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.98)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.96)


QQQJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQJ  Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 (0.96)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIA



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.01)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.01)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.01)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIA



STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.82)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.83)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.86)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.87)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.89)









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