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DIA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DIA shows 66% more bullish risk. Historical price trends and robust corporate earnings support an optimistic outlook.

Bearish Case: DIA faces backwardation and high IV risks, indicating potential short-term volatility and possible corrections.

Potential Outcomes: Uptrend continuation: 60% chance driven by strong bullish momentum.
Sideways movement: 30% likelihood due to mixed signals.
Downturn: 10% chance from volatility spikes or economic concerns.

Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spreads by buying DIA $450 calls and selling $455 calls with March expiry. With low IV and mean-reverting history, this strategy exploits implied volatility dips. Expect a 20% return on momentum. Opt for short to medium-term expiration aligning with earnings.

February 01, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIA

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.99)

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.98)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.95)

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.95)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIA

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.0)

ING ING Groep (-0.02)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.03)

DOMO Domo (-0.03)

CMC Commercial Metals (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIA

IEP Icahn (-0.83)

GES Guess (-0.83)

SHLS Shoals (-0.83)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.