DIV Forecast


Bullish Case: Increased demand for high-dividend stocks in current economic conditions can drive DIV back towards $20, supported by a favorable implied volatility environment suggesting potential upward momentum by January 2025.




Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and high implied volatility could pressure DIV down towards $16, as seen in historical trends where returns have been negative in similar market conditions, especially over the next few months.




Potential Outcomes:

1. DIV reaches $20 (30% chance) due to strong market demand.

2. DIV remains flat around $18 (40% chance) as investors assess market conditions.

3. DIV drops below $16 (30% chance) driven by broader economic declines and high volatility pressures.




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish debit spread by buying a $19 call and selling a $21 call, leveraging lower near-term volatility for a positive risk-reward ratio. Alternatively, a credit spread can capitalize on heightened implied volatility around $19. Focus on a 3-month outlook to capture potential price movements as economic indicators clarify.



November 19, 2024


Global X Funds - Global X SuperDividend U.S. Forecast

DIV        Global X Funds - Global X SuperDividend U.S.











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIV



EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (0.92)


SRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRE  Sempra Energy (0.92)


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.92)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (0.91)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIV



AVTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVTR  Avantor (0.0)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.01)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (0.02)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (-0.03)


THO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THO  Thor Industries (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIV



APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.83)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.84)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.85)


DIV News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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