DQ Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: DQ could benefit from potential rebounds in polysilicon demand and increased trading volume, supported by high implied volatility, indicating market anticipation of upward movements.




Bearish Case: Ongoing oversupply pressures in the polysilicon market and recent downgrades could continue to depress DQ's stock price, leading to lower investor confidence and further declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1) 35%: Solar demand improves, boosting DQ prices.

2) 45%: Continued oversupply keeps prices down.

3) 20%: Market volatility disrupts price stability.




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish strategy by exploiting the short volatility model. Employ a debit spread, buying the $26 strike call and selling the $30 strike call, aiming to leverage implied volatility skew. Expected return: 33% with a high probability of profit at 70% under current conditions.



October 27, 2024


Daqo New Energy Forecast

DQ        Daqo New Energy











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