Bullish Case: With strong demand for solar energy and expanding production capacity, DQ holds potential for growth. Despite volatility, strategic capacity expansions could enhance profitability and drive stock upwards.

Bearish Case: Persistent oversupply and falling polysilicon prices add significant bearish pressure, compounded by high volatility levels. Market pricing suggests potential for further declines in value.

Potential Outcomes: 40% bearish due to oversupply, 30% bullish on solar demand growth, 30% neutral amidst uncertain policy environment and mixed market signals. Prior forecasts largely neutral; reassessed risks.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish short volatility strategy, considering high implied volatility and market sentiment. Sell 1 $22.5 strike call, buy 2 $25.0 strike calls expiring in 11 days. High probability of profit (76%), positive edge, favorable risk-reward, seeking 23% return (132% annualized).

February 11, 2025