DX Forecast


Bullish Case: DX shows moderate upward likelihood with consistently strong dividends. Recent insider buying and price-to-book ratio below 1 hint at undervaluation.


Bearish Case: Historical underperformance and erratic returns signal prolonged weakness. Current trends indicate high volatility, with downside risk increased by rising interest rates.


Potential Outcomes: Upside on favorable market: 25%. Downside from interest rates hikes: 45%. Sideways on market equilibrium: 30%. Predictions considering historical volatility patterns and future economic conditions.


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June 24, 2024


Dynex Capital Forecast

DX      Dynex Capital











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DX



AGNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGNC  AGNC Investment (0.88)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (0.86)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.84)


NLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLY  Annaly (0.83)


LSTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSTR  Landstar System (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DX



CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRH  CRH Plc (0.0)


NDAQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NDAQ  Nasdaq (-0.0)


LNTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNTH  Lantheus (0.0)


AMAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMAT  Applied Materials (0.0)


ARCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARCC  Ares (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DX



SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.48)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.48)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.5)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.55)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.66)





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