EARN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EARN's attractive dividend yield and potential real estate market recovery may drive investor interest and upward price movement.




Bearish Case: High macroeconomic pressures and interest rate sensitivity continue to pose significant risks to EARN, likely leading to price stagnation or decline.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat Trading (60%): Historical trend consistency.
  • Modest Decline (25%): Ongoing economic pressures.
  • Slow Recovery (15%): Dividend allure and market recovery.



April 22, 2025


Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Forecast

EARN        Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EARN



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.94)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.91)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.9)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.89)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EARN



SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (-0.0)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.01)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.02)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.02)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EARN



TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.79)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.8)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.83)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.83)


OGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGE  Oge Energy (-0.86)









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