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AI EARN Forecast

Bullish Case: EARN's historical return surface shows potential for modest long-term recovery, especially if real estate conditions improve. High dividend yields attract new capital, enhancing investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: Continued macroeconomic pressures, including high interest rates and stagnant housing markets, could suppress EARN's price further. The high likelihood of negative returns historically suggests significant downside risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued flat trading (40%);

2) Moderate growth in response to improved economic indicators (30%);

3) Significant decline driven by negative market conditions (30%). These probabilities reflect historical trends and current economic factors.

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September 17, 2024

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Forecast

EARN Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EARN

ING ING Groep (0.92)

WWD Woodward (0.91)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (0.9)

OC Owens Corning (0.9)

SILJ ETF Managers Group LLC - ETFMG Prime Junior Silver Miners (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EARN

PCOR Procore (0.0)

NOC Northrop Grumman (-0.0)

BWA BorgWarner (-0.0)

LUV Southwest Airlines (0.01)

KHC Kraft Heinz (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EARN

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.83)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.84)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.84)

DUST Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X S (-0.86)

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