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EARN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EARN's attractive dividend yield and potential real estate market recovery may drive investor interest and upward price movement.

Bearish Case: High macroeconomic pressures and interest rate sensitivity continue to pose significant risks to EARN, likely leading to price stagnation or decline.

Potential Outcomes: Flat Trading (60%): Historical trend consistency.
Modest Decline (25%): Ongoing economic pressures.
Slow Recovery (15%): Dividend allure and market recovery.

April 22, 2025

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Forecast

EARN Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EARN

XRX Xerox (0.94)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.91)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.9)

VAL Valaris (0.89)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EARN

SG Sweetgreen (-0.0)

FE Firstenergy (0.01)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.02)

TAL TAL Education (-0.02)

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EARN

TW Tradeweb Markets (-0.79)

ORI Old Republic International (-0.8)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.83)

LRN Stride (-0.83)

OGE Oge Energy (-0.86)

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