AI ECC Forecast

Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: Increasing capital deployment in high-yield CLOs shows potential for ECC to outperform, driven by stabilizing economic conditions and improved distribution yields, leading to significant price gains.


Bearish Case: Risks from macroeconomic downturns and potential yield compression in CLO distributions may hinder ECC's performance, resulting in a risk of underperformance and price declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued capital deployment improves returns (30%).

2. Macro challenges negatively impact CLO distributions (20%).

3. Stable performance with minor fluctuations remains prevalent (50%).


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October 13, 2024


Eagle Point Credit Forecast

ECC      Eagle Point Credit











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Uncorrelated Assets

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ECC



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