ECCV Forecast


Bullish Case: ECCV's stable price increase over the past year and consistent net investment income suggest a secure yield. Their investments in CLOs with expected high yields can drive future price appreciation.


Bearish Case: The historical return surface indicates a high likelihood of negative returns over various holding periods. Falling net investment income and potential CLO market volatility pose significant downside risks.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stagnant Price (50%): ECCV's price remains flat as per recent trends and historical data.

2. Moderate Price Increase (30%): High-yield investments push prices up.

3. Significant Drop (20%): CLO market instability and decreasing NII lead to substantial price drops.


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July 17, 2024


Eagle Point Credit Company 5.375% NT REDEEM 31/01/2029 USD 25 Forecast

ECCV      Eagle Point Credit Company 5.375% NT REDEEM 31/01/2029 USD 25











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ECCV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.16)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.54)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ECCV



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.16)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.54)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ECCV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.81)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.16)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.54)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.58)





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